白皮书04 · 附录D · 英文原文
数据表
Data tables
本附录未收入中文摘要版,以下为英文原文。
This annex gives, for every figure in the paper, the values plotted, with their units, status and sources, so that each exhibit can be checked and reproduced without the web edition. Values are as published by the sources or as derived in Annex A; rounding may differ slightly from the charts. Source markers refer to Annex C.
Table D.1 derivedFigure ES.1: Where the gap is
| Product | Local capacity (kt a year) | Domestic demand or imports (kt a year) | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reinforcing bar | 627 | 180.0 | domestic demand (Ocitram, May 2026) |
| Wire rod and nails | 72 | 36.0 | domestic demand (Ocitram) |
| Roofing sheet | 43 | 21.0 | domestic demand (Ocitram) |
| Tubes | 34 | 14.0 | domestic demand (Ocitram) |
| Billets (merchant) | 0 | 161.4 | imports, HS 7207, 2023 |
| Flat steel (coil and sheet) | 0 | 96.0 | imports HS 7209 47.5 + 7210 30.5 (2023) + 7208 18.0 (2022) |
| Heavy sections and structures | 0 | 50.0 | imports HS 7308 25.7 kt (2023) + HS 7216 about 24 kt (derived from US$26.3m) |
Source: as Figure ES.1 [S03][S05].
Table D.2 sourcedFigure 1.1: World crude steel output has fallen from its 2021 peak of 1,963 Mt to 1,849 Mt in 2025, and finished-steel demand has fallen faster
| Year | Crude steel production (Mt) | Apparent steel use (Mt) | worldsteel forecast, April 2026 (Mt) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 1,435 | ||
| 2011 | 1,540 | ||
| 2012 | 1,563 | ||
| 2013 | 1,654 | ||
| 2014 | 1,676 | ||
| 2015 | 1,626 | ||
| 2016 | 1,634 | ||
| 2017 | 1,738 | ||
| 2018 | 1,831 | ||
| 2019 | 1,879 | ||
| 2020 | 1,883 | ||
| 2021 | 1,963 | 1,841.2 | |
| 2022 | 1,889 | 1,777.4 | |
| 2023 | 1,904 | 1,778.5 | |
| 2024 | 1,887 | 1,751.1 | |
| 2025 | 1,849 | 1,718.2 | |
| 2026 | 1,724.1 | ||
| 2027 | 1,762.0 |
Source: as Figure 1.1 [S02][S08][S39].
Table D.3 sourcedFigure 1.2: Excess capacity rises from 602 Mt in 2024 to a projected 745 Mt in 2028
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Excess capacity, 2024 (Mt) | 602 |
| Excess capacity, 2025 (Mt) | 640 |
| Excess capacity, 2028 forecast (Mt) | 745 |
| Capacity, end-2025 (Mt) | 2,547 |
| Capacity, 2028 forecast (Mt) | 2,656 |
| Utilisation, 2025 | 76% |
| Utilisation, 2028 forecast | 74% or less |
| Cameroon apparent steel use (Mt) | 0.45 |
| Excess capacity 2028 / Cameroon use (times) | 1,656 |
Source: as Figure 1.2 [S41][S09][S40][S01].
Table D.4 sourcedFigure 1.3: China’s steel exports rose from about 90 Mt in 2023 to a record 119 Mt in 2025, and its exports of billets and other semi-finished steel almost doubled
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Exports, customs basis, 2023 (Mt, derived) | 90.3 |
| Exports, customs basis, 2024 (Mt) | 111.1 |
| Exports, customs basis, 2025 (Mt) | 119.0 |
| Exports, customs basis, January to August 2026 (Mt) | 75.15 |
| Semi-finished exports, 2024 (Mt) | 6.3 |
| Semi-finished exports, January to October 2025 (Mt) | 11.9 |
| Exports to African Union members, January to October 2025 (Mt) | 13.78 |
Source: as Figure 1.3 [S10][S37][S44].
Table D.5 sourcedFigure 2.1: Africa’s steel use rose to 45.0 Mt in 2025, driven by the countries outside Egypt and South Africa, whose combined use rose from 24.0 Mt in 2021 to 30.6 Mt
| Year | Egypt (Mt) | South Africa (Mt) | Other Africa (Mt) | Africa, total (Mt) | Crude steel production (Mt) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 10.2 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 39.2 | |
| 2022 | 10.5 | 4.1 | 20.6 | 35.3 | |
| 2023 | 9.2 | 4.3 | 25.1 | 38.6 | 27.1 |
| 2024 | 10.1 | 4.4 | 26.2 | 40.7 | 28.8 |
| 2025 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 30.6 | 45.0 | 29.8 |
| 2026 (forecast) | 46.7 | ||||
| 2027 (forecast) | 48.8 |
Source: as Figure 2.1 [S02][S39].
Table D.6 sourcedFigure 2.2: At about 15 kg per person, Cameroon’s steel use is about half the African average of 29.2 kg and 7% of the world average of 209 kg
| Country or group | kg per person, 2025 |
|---|---|
| China | 562.1 |
| Türkiye | 447.8 |
| World | 209.0 |
| Brazil | 125.9 |
| India | 109.2 |
| Other Asia | 90.8 |
| Egypt | 84.3 |
| South Africa | 68.5 |
| Africa | 29.2 |
| Other Africa | 22.5 |
| Cameroon (estimate) | 15.1 |
Source: as Figure 2.2 [S02][S01][S14][S15].
Table D.7 sourcedFigure 2.3: Africa’s steel imports rose 38% in 2025, to 32.9 Mt
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Imports 2024, total (Mt) | 23.9 |
| Imports 2024, from China (Mt) | 13.8 |
| Imports 2025, total (Mt) | 32.9 |
| Imports 2025, from China (Mt) | 19.4 |
| Imports 2025 by origin (Mt): China | 19.4 |
| Imports 2025 by origin (Mt): Africa and Middle East | 5.0 |
| Imports 2025 by origin (Mt): Other Europe | 2.6 |
| Imports 2025 by origin (Mt): European Union | 2.0 |
| Imports 2025 by origin (Mt): Russia, CIS and Ukraine | 1.7 |
| Imports 2025 by origin (Mt): Japan and other Asia | 2.2 |
Source: as Figure 2.3 [S02][S12].
Table D.8 sourcedFigure 3.1: Construction value added grew faster than GDP in 2021, 2022, 2024 and 2025
| Year | Real GDP growth, INS (%) | Construction growth, INS (%) | Real GDP forecast, IMF (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 6.7 | ||
| 2021 | 3.4 | 7.3 | |
| 2022 | 3.7 | 4.2 | |
| 2023 | 3.3 | 2.3 | |
| 2024 | 3.5 | 4.3 | |
| 2025 | 3.5 | 4.3 | |
| 2026 | 3.3 | ||
| 2027 | 3.8 | ||
| 2028 | 4.2 |
Source: as Figure 3.1 [S16][S81].
Table D.9 sourcedFigure 3.2: Clinker imports rose 20.5% in 2025, to 3,107 kt, and reported cement demand of 6.8 Mt exceeded domestic output of 4.7 Mt
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Clinker imports, 2019 (kt) | 2,556 |
| Clinker imports, 2023 (kt) | 2,412 |
| Clinker imports, 2024 (kt) | 2,577 |
| Clinker imports, 2025 (kt) | 3,107 |
| Cement demand, 2025 (Mt) | 6.8 |
| Cement production of six plants, 2025 (Mt) | 4.7 |
Source: as Figure 3.2 [S19][S107][S07][S103][S105].
Table D.10 sourcedFigure 3.3: Cameroon’s population is projected to grow from 29.9 million in 2025 to 42.2 million in 2040, and its urban population from 16.6 million to 24.7 million
| Year | Population (million) | Urban share (%) | Urban population (million) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 14.9 | 46.2 | 6.9 |
| 2005 | 17.1 | 48.6 | 8.3 |
| 2010 | 19.7 | 50.9 | 10.0 |
| 2015 | 22.8 | 52.6 | 12.0 |
| 2020 | 26.2 | 54.3 | 14.2 |
| 2025 | 29.9 | 55.7 | 16.6 |
| 2030 | 33.8 | 56.9 | 19.2 |
| 2035 | 37.9 | 57.8 | 21.9 |
| 2040 | 42.2 | 58.6 | 24.7 |
Source: as Figure 3.3 [S18][S14][S15].
Table D.11 sourcedFigure 4.1: Chapter 72 import volumes more than doubled between 2019 and 2025, to 412 kt, while the average import value per kilogram fell 47% from its 2022 peak of 783 FCFA to 413 FCFA
| Year | Chapter 72 (t) | Chapter 72 (million FCFA) | Chapter 73 (t) | Chapter 73 (million FCFA) | Chapter 72 unit value (FCFA/kg) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 182,890 | 93,032 | 72,253 | 106,047 | 509 |
| 2020 | 278,981 | 172,274 | 56,700 | 74,296 | 618 |
| 2021 | 297,633 | 218,020 | 58,717 | 116,627 | 733 |
| 2022 | 283,589 | 222,062 | 65,719 | 97,552 | 783 |
| 2023 | 304,062 | 186,724 | 74,040 | 109,091 | 614 |
| 2024 | 309,682 | 137,215 | 80,583 | 103,078 | 443 |
| 2025p | 412,049 | 170,094 | 84,008 | 107,993 | 413 |
Source: as Figure 4.1 [S19][S114][S115][S107][S07].
Table D.12 sourcedFigure 4.2: In 2023 billets and other semis (HS 7207) cost US$151.7m, 49% of the chapter 72 import bill of US$310.4m
| HS line | Imports 2023 (US$m) |
|---|---|
| 7207 Billets and semis | 151.7 |
| 7209 Cold-rolled flat | 52.0 |
| 7210 Coated flat | 32.2 |
| 7216 Sections | 26.3 |
| 7208 Hot-rolled flat | 18.3 |
| Other chapter 72 | 13.4 |
| 7213 Wire rod | 8.1 |
| 7217 Wire | 5.1 |
| 7214 Bars and rebar | 3.3 |
| 7308 Structures | 58.0 |
| 7306 Tubes, welded | 26.0 |
| 7304 Tubes, seamless | 14.6 |
| Chapter 72 total | 310.4 |
Source: as Figure 4.2 [S05].
Table D.13 sourcedFigure 4.3: Indonesia supplied 125.5 kt of the 161.4 kt of billets imported in 2023, 78%
| Origin | Billet imports 2023 (kt) | Chapter 72 imports 2023 (US$m) |
|---|---|---|
| China | not listed | 125.5 |
| Indonesia | 125.5 | 119.3 |
| Qatar | 20.8 | 14.5 |
| South Africa | 9.8 | 11.4 |
| Türkiye | not listed | 10.1 |
| Belgium | not listed | 6.2 |
| India | not listed | 4.6 |
| Others | not listed | 18.8 |
| UAE | 3.0 | not listed |
| Rep. of Congo | 2.3 | not listed |
| Total | 161.4 | 310.4 |
Source: as Figure 4.3 [S05].
Table D.14 sourcedFigure 5.1: Reported reinforcing-bar capacity rose from 260 kt (April 2023) to 450 kt (June 2023) and 627 kt (May 2026), while domestic demand is consistently put at about 180 kt
| Date | Rebar capacity (kt a year) | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2023 | 260 | local capacity cited in the Customs note of 3 Apr 2023 [S56] |
| Jun 2023 | 450 | installed capacity cited by industry (production about 260 kt in 2022) [S80] |
| May 2026 | 627 | Ocitram (printed ’627 tonnes’, read as kt) [S03] |
| Domestic demand | 180 | [S03] |
Source: as Figure 5.1 [S56][S80][S03][S20][S01].
Table D.15 derivedFigure 5.2: Imported billets supplied about 60% of the iron units used by Cameroonian mills in 2023, about 161 kt, and local scrap about 40%, roughly 108 kt
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Billet imports, 2023 (kt) | 161.4 |
| Share of imported billets | 60% |
| Share of local scrap | 40% |
| Implied total iron units (kt) | 269 |
| Implied local scrap (kt) | 107.6 |
| Scrap arising, 2006 study (kt a year) | 53.0 to 61.8 |
Source: as Figure 5.2 [S05][S03][S20][S01][S116][S27].
Table D.16 sourcedFigure 6.1: CEMAC imported about US$501m of chapter 72 steel in 2023
| Country | Chapter 72 imports 2023 (US$m) |
|---|---|
| Cameroon | 310.4 |
| Chad | 73.4 |
| Gabon | 68.5 |
| Rep. of Congo | 33.9 |
| Eq. Guinea | 11.6 |
| Central African Rep. | 3.4 |
| Nigeria | 272.0 |
| CEMAC total | 501.2 |
Source: as Figure 6.1 [S05][S06].
Table D.17 sourcedFigure 6.2: Gabon imported 50.7 kt of reinforcing bar in 2023 and the Republic of Congo 32.8 kt in 2024
| Flow | Year | kt |
|---|---|---|
| Rebar imports, Gabon | 2021 | 52.2 |
| Rebar imports, Gabon | 2022 | 40.2 |
| Rebar imports, Gabon | 2023 | 50.7 |
| Rebar imports, Rep. of Congo | 2023 | 12.8 |
| Rebar imports, Rep. of Congo | 2024 | 32.8 |
| Rebar imports, CAR | 2023 | 1.0 |
| Cameroon rebar exports | 2021 | 33.4 |
| Cameroon rebar exports | 2022 | 30.8 |
| Cameroon rebar exports | 2023 | 27.1 |
| Cameroon rebar exports | 2024 | 32.2 |
| Cameroon rebar exports | 2025 | 31.0 |
| Cameroon rebar exports 2023, to Chad | 2023 | 25.9 |
| Cameroon rebar exports 2023, to Equatorial Guinea | 2023 | 0.8 |
| Cameroon rebar exports 2023, to CAR | 2023 | 0.2 |
Source: as Figure 6.2 [S114][S107][S07][S05][S06].
Table D.18 sourcedFigure 6.3: CEMAC’s population is projected to grow from 67 million to 97 million between 2025 and 2040, with Chad adding 10 million
| Country | Population 2025 (million) | Population 2040, projection (million) |
|---|---|---|
| Cameroon | 29.88 | 42.21 |
| Chad | 21.00 | 31.31 |
| Rep. of Congo | 6.48 | 9.08 |
| CAR | 5.51 | 8.53 |
| Gabon | 2.59 | 3.45 |
| Eq. Guinea | 1.94 | 2.67 |
| CEMAC total | 67.4 | 97.25 |
| Nigeria, chapter 72 imports (US$m), 2019 | 683.2 | |
| Nigeria, chapter 72 imports (US$m), 2021 | 930.4 | |
| Nigeria, chapter 72 imports (US$m), 2022 | 560.0 | |
| Nigeria, chapter 72 imports (US$m), 2023 | 272.0 | |
| Nigeria, chapter 72 imports (US$m), 2024 | 225.7 |
Source: as Figure 6.3 [S132][S18][S06].
Table D.19 illustrativeFigure 7.1: Cameroon’s apparent steel use rises from about 450 kt in 2025 to 685 kt (low), 921 kt (base) or 1,230 kt (high) in 2040
| Year | Population (million) | Demand, low (kt) | Demand, base (kt) | Demand, high (kt) | Use per person, low / base / high (kg) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29.9 | 450 | 450 | 450 | 15.1 / 15.1 / 15.1 |
| 2026 | 30.6 | 464 | 473 | 482 | 15.1 / 15.4 / 15.7 |
| 2027 | 31.4 | 477 | 496 | 516 | 15.2 / 15.8 / 16.4 |
| 2028 | 32.2 | 492 | 522 | 553 | 15.3 / 16.2 / 17.2 |
| 2029 | 33.0 | 506 | 548 | 592 | 15.4 / 16.6 / 18.0 |
| 2030 | 33.8 | 522 | 576 | 634 | 15.4 / 17.0 / 18.8 |
| 2031 | 34.6 | 536 | 604 | 678 | 15.5 / 17.5 / 19.6 |
| 2032 | 35.4 | 552 | 633 | 725 | 15.6 / 17.9 / 20.5 |
| 2033 | 36.2 | 567 | 664 | 775 | 15.7 / 18.4 / 21.4 |
| 2034 | 37.0 | 583 | 696 | 829 | 15.8 / 18.8 / 22.4 |
| 2035 | 37.9 | 600 | 730 | 886 | 15.8 / 19.3 / 23.4 |
| 2036 | 38.7 | 616 | 765 | 946 | 15.9 / 19.8 / 24.4 |
| 2037 | 39.6 | 633 | 801 | 1,010 | 16.0 / 20.2 / 25.5 |
| 2038 | 40.4 | 650 | 839 | 1,079 | 16.1 / 20.8 / 26.7 |
| 2039 | 41.3 | 667 | 879 | 1,152 | 16.1 / 21.3 / 27.9 |
| 2040 | 42.2 | 685 | 921 | 1,230 | 16.2 / 21.8 / 29.1 |
Source: as Figure 7.1 [S01][S18][S02][S39][S16].
Table D.20 illustrativeFigure 7.2: In the base scenario, reinforcing bar remains the largest product, rising from 180 kt to about 341 kt by 2040, but sections and structures grow fastest, from 50 kt to about 120 kt, and flat steel rises from about 95 kt to about 203 kt
| Year | Reinforcing bar (kt) | Wire rod, wire and nails (kt) | Flat steel (kt) | Sections and structures (kt) | Tubes and hollow sections (kt) | Other finished steel (kt) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 180 | 38 | 95 | 50 | 25 | 62 |
| 2030 | 224 | 48 | 123 | 68 | 33 | 80 |
| 2035 | 278 | 60 | 158 | 90 | 43 | 102 |
| 2040 | 341 | 74 | 202 | 120 | 55 | 129 |
Source: as Figure 7.2 [S03][S05][S01].
Table D.21 illustrativeFigure 7.3: The iron units needed by domestic long-product rolling rise from about 288 kt in 2025 to 404 kt (low), 532 kt (base) or 700 kt (high) in 2040
| Year | Need, low / base / high (kt) | Local scrap (kt) | Gap, low / base / high (kt) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 288 / 288 / 288 | 115 | 174 / 174 / 174 |
| 2026 | 295 / 300 / 306 | 118 | 177 / 182 / 188 |
| 2027 | 302 / 313 / 324 | 122 | 181 / 192 / 203 |
| 2028 | 310 / 326 / 344 | 125 | 184 / 201 / 219 |
| 2029 | 317 / 340 / 365 | 129 | 188 / 211 / 236 |
| 2030 | 324 / 355 / 387 | 133 | 192 / 222 / 254 |
| 2031 | 332 / 369 / 411 | 137 | 195 / 233 / 274 |
| 2032 | 339 / 385 / 436 | 141 | 198 / 244 / 295 |
| 2033 | 347 / 401 / 462 | 145 | 202 / 256 / 317 |
| 2034 | 355 / 418 / 491 | 150 | 206 / 268 / 341 |
| 2035 | 363 / 435 / 521 | 154 | 209 / 281 / 367 |
| 2036 | 371 / 453 / 552 | 159 | 212 / 294 / 394 |
| 2037 | 379 / 471 / 586 | 163 | 216 / 308 / 422 |
| 2038 | 387 / 490 / 621 | 168 | 219 / 322 / 453 |
| 2039 | 396 / 511 / 659 | 173 | 222 / 337 / 486 |
| 2040 | 404 / 532 / 700 | 178 | 226 / 353 / 521 |
Source: as Figure 7.3 [S05][S03][S20][S01][S33].
Table D.22 sourcedFigure 8.1: Iron ore fell from US$120.6 per tonne in 2023 to US$100.2 in 2025 and averaged US$97.4 in the third quarter of 2026
| Period | US$ per dry tonne |
|---|---|
| Annual average 2023 | 120.6 |
| Annual average 2024 | 109.4 |
| Annual average 2025 | 100.2 |
| Quarter 1, 2026 | 102.9 |
| Quarter 2, 2026 | 105.2 |
| Quarter 3, 2026 | 97.4 |
| September 2026 | 97.7 |
| World Bank forecast 2026 | 97 |
| World Bank forecast 2027 | 95 |
Source: as Figure 8.1 [S58][S144][S59].
Table D.23 sourcedFigure 8.2: Turkish export rebar rose from US$545 to 555 per tonne in October 2025 to US$620 to 630 in October 2026
| Date | Series | Low (US$/t) | High (US$/t) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-22 | Turkish rebar, export FOB | 550 | 575 |
| 2024-10-06 | Billet: Billet, generic | 470 | 495 |
| 2024-10-28 | Turkish rebar, export FOB | 580 | 600 |
| 2024-10-28 | China rebar, FOT | 475.00 | 476.00 |
| 2025-04-25 | China rebar, FOT | 416.00 | 416.00 |
| 2025-10-18 | Turkish rebar, export FOB | 545 | 555 |
| 2025-10-18 | Billet: Russia FOB | 430 | 440 |
| 2026-03-31 | Billet: Black Sea FOB | 459 | 459 |
| 2026-03-31 | Billet: Persian Gulf CFR | 523 | 523 |
| 2026-08-31 | Turkish rebar, export FOB | 590 | 590 |
| 2026-08-31 | China rebar, FOT | 444.76 | 444.76 |
| 2026-09-11 | Turkish rebar, export FOB | 615 | 615 |
| 2026-09-11 | China rebar, FOT | 463.75 | 463.75 |
| 2026-10-03 | Turkish rebar, export FOB | 620 | 630 |
| 2026-10-03 | Billet: Russia FOB | 470 | 480 |
| 2026-10-03 | Billet: China FOB | 465 | 470 |
| 2026-10-03 | Billet: ex-CIS CFR Türkiye | 515 | 525 |
Source: as Figure 8.2 [S22][S145][S146][S147][S148][S149][S150][S151].
Table D.24 derivedFigure 8.3: Billets at US$465 to 480 per tonne FOB from China and Russia, or US$515 to 525 delivered to Türkiye, and Turkish export rebar at US$620 to 630 sit far below the October 2023 homologated price of rebar in Douala, US$974 to 1,130 per tonne depending on the exchange rate used
| Item | Low (US$/t) | High (US$/t) |
|---|---|---|
| China billet, FOB | 465 | 470 |
| Russia billet, FOB | 470 | 480 |
| Russia HRC, FOB | 505 | 510 |
| ex-CIS billet, CFR Türkiye | 515 | 525 |
| Turkish rebar, FOB | 620 | 630 |
| Douala rebar, homologated (Oct 2023 list, converted) | 974 | 1,130 |
| US Midwest rebar, ex-works (Aug 2026 average) | 1,022 | 1,022 |
Source: as Figure 8.3 [S22][S149][S24][S33].
Table D.25 illustrativeFigure 8.4: On imported scrap and hot-briquetted iron, a billet made at Kribi would cost about US$590 to 780 per tonne delivered to a Douala re-roller, before capital charges, against US$570 to 650 for an imported billet landed duty-paid
| Component (US$ per tonne of billet) | Low | Central | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Imported billet, landed duty-paid | |||
| FOB billet price | 465.0 | 472.5 | 480.0 |
| Freight and insurance | 40.0 | 60.0 | 80.0 |
| Duty and levy (10.2%) | 51.5 | 54.3 | 57.1 |
| Port, clearance and delivery to the mill | 15.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 |
| Total | 572 | 612 | 652 |
| Kribi billet, imported scrap and HBI | |||
| Metallic charge (scrap and HBI) | 460.0 | 485.9 | 511.7 |
| Duty and levy on imported metallics (10.2%) | 46.9 | 49.6 | 52.2 |
| Electricity | 16.1 | 39.7 | 99.3 |
| Electrodes, refractories, alloys, lime, oxygen | 35.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 |
| Labour | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 |
| Maintenance and overheads | 15.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 |
| Delivery to a Douala re-roller | 10.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 |
| Total | 591 | 668 | 783 |
Source: as Figure 8.4 [S22][S160][S159][S161][S158][S23][S124][S93][S154][S155][S126][S125][S33].
Table D.26 derivedFigure 9.1: Billets, flat steel and sections are large segments with little or no local supply; reinforcing bar, wire rod, roofing sheet and tubes are covered two to three and a half times by existing capacity
| Segment | Market (kt a year) | Local capacity / market | Import value 2023 (US$m) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billets (merchant) | 161.4 | 0.00 | 151.7 |
| Flat steel | 96.0 | 0.00 | 102.5 |
| Sections and structures | 50.0 | 0.15 | 84.3 |
| Tubes | 14.0 | 2.43 | 40.6 |
| Wire rod and nails | 36.0 | 2.00 | 8.1 |
| Roofing sheet | 21.0 | 2.05 | n.a. |
| Reinforcing bar | 180.0 | 3.48 | 3.3 |
Source: as Figure 9.1 [S05][S03].
Table D.27 sourcedFigure 10.1: Imports of iron and steel (chapters 72 and 73) cost between 240 and 296 bn FCFA a year in 2023 to 2025, equivalent to 13% to 15% of Cameroon’s merchandise trade deficit
| Year | Chapter 72 (bn FCFA) | Chapter 73 (bn FCFA) | Trade deficit (bn FCFA) | Share of deficit (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 186.7 | 109.1 | 2,004.0 | 14.8 |
| 2024 | 137.2 | 103.1 | 1,747.3 | 13.8 |
| 2025p | 170.1 | 108.0 | 2,145.2 | 13.0 |
Source: as Figure 10.1 [S115][S107][S07].
Table D.28 sourcedFigure 10.2: Under the 2023 CEMAC tariff, reinforcing bar paid 20% and galvanised sheet 30%, but wire rod paid 5%, half the 10% applied to the billets from which it is rolled and to iron ore, DRI and scrap
| Tariff line | Applied duty, 2023 (%) |
|---|---|
| Iron ore (2601.11) | 10 |
| DRI (7203.10) | 10 |
| Ferrous scrap (7204.29) | 10 |
| Billets (7207.11) | 10 |
| Wire rod (7213.91) | 5 |
| Hot-rolled coil (7208.27) | 10 |
| Sections (7216.10) | 10 |
| Structures (7308.10) | 10 |
| Structures n.e.s. (7308.90) | 20 |
| Reinforcing bar (7214.20) | 20 |
| Galvanised sheet (7210.49) | 30 |
本章引用的资料来源
方括号内的标记对应以下来源(按原文语言列出),完整列表见附录。 完整来源列表
- S03Production: les acteurs en présence. Cameroon Tribune,2026年5月11日.cameroon-tribune.cm/article.html/76600/fr.html/details_2
- S05UN Comtrade public API, Cameroon (reporter 120), HS 72/73 and 6-digit lines, 2019-2023. UN Statistics Division.comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=120&period=20…
- S02World Steel in Figures 2026 (page and PDF). worldsteel,2026年6月4日.worldsteel.org/data/world-steel-in-figures/world-steel-in-figures-2026…
- S08December 2025 crude steel production and 2025 global totals. worldsteel,2026年1月23日.worldsteel.org/media/press-releases/2026/december-2025-crude-steel-pro…
- S39worldsteel Short Range Outlook April 2026 (release + Table 1). worldsteel,2026年4月14日.worldsteel.org/media/press-releases/2026/worldsteel-short-range-outloo…
- S41Regulation (EU) 2026/1384 (steel TRQ replacing the safeguard). EU, Official Journal L,2026年6月24日.eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2026/1384/oj/eng
- S09OECD: global steel excess capacity set to reach 745 million mt by 2028. EUROMETAL (Platts),2026年6月5日.eurometal.net/oecd-global-steel-excess-capacity-set-to-reach-745-milli…
- S40OECD Steel Committee: global overcapacity hits record levels as China’s exports surge. EUROMETAL,2025年11月7日.eurometal.net/oecd-steel-committee-global-overcapacity-hits-record-lev…
- S01Cameroun: Prometal décroche 26,2 milliards FCFA d’Afreximbank. Camer.be,2026年10月1日.camer.be/actualites/economie/cameroun-prometal-decroche-262-milliards-…
- S10China increased steel exports by 7.5% y/y in 2025. GMK Center,2026年1月14日.gmk.center/en/news/china-increased-steel-exports-by-7-5-y-y-in-2025/
- S37China’s rapidly growing steel exports will lose momentum from 2026 onwards. GMK Center,2025年12月24日.gmk.center/en/infographic/china-s-rapidly-growing-steel-exports-will-l…
- S44China increased steel exports by 0.3% m/m in August. GMK Center,2026年9月8日.gmk.center/en/news/china-increased-steel-exports-by-0-3-m-m-in-august/
- S14WDI API: SP.POP.TOTL; SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS (CMR). World Bank,更新:2026年10月8日.api.worldbank.org/v2/country/CMR/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL?format=json
- S15Cameroun: bouclage du 4e RGPH, 22,7 millions d’habitants recensés. Journal du Cameroun,2026年10月5日.fr.journalducameroun.com/cameroun-bouclage-du-4e-rgph-227-millions-dha…
- S12World Steel in Figures 2025. worldsteel,2025年6月.worldsteel.org/data/world-steel-in-figures/world-steel-in-figures-2025…
- S16Les Comptes Nationaux de 2025. INS Cameroun,2026年8月(发布:2026年9月2日).ins-cameroun.cm/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Comptes_Nationaux_2025_FR_V…
- S81World Economic Outlook DataMapper API (NGDP_RPCH, NGDPD, PCPIPCH, CMR). IMF,2026年4月(《世界经济展望》).imf.org/external/datamapper/api/v1/NGDP_RPCH/CMR
- S19Commerce extérieur du Cameroun en 2020. INS Cameroun,2021年7月.ins-cameroun.cm/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Note-Commerce-exterieur-202…
- S107Évolution du commerce extérieur en 2024. INS Cameroun,2025年8月.ins-cameroun.cm/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Commext_2024_FR_Edite-final…
- S07Évolution du commerce extérieur en 2025 (version provisoire). INS Cameroun,2026年2月(发布:2026年4月1日).ins-cameroun.cm/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Note-sur-le-commerce-exteri…
- S103Cameroun: le ghanéen Empire Cement veut implanter une cimenterie d’1 Mt à Douala. EcoMatin,2025年8月6日.ecomatin.net/cameroun-le-ghaneen-empire-cement-veut-implanter-une-cime…
- S105L’industrie camerounaise du ciment face à des défis structurels. EcoMatin,2025年9月29日.ecomatin.net/lindustrie-camerounaise-du-ciment-face-a-des-defis-struct…
- S18Population estimates and projections (source 40): SP.POP.TOTL and SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS, 2025 to 2040. World Bank,更新:2026年7月1日.api.worldbank.org/v2/country/CMR/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL?source=40&forma…
- S114Note sur le commerce extérieur 2022. INS Cameroun,2023年12月(修订:2024年2月13日).ins-cameroun.cm/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Note-sur-le-Commerce-Exteri…
- S115Commerce extérieur du Cameroun en 2023. INS Cameroun,2024年4月.ins-cameroun.cm/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Note-sur-le-Commerce-Exteri…
- S56Métallurgie: les importations du fer à béton interdites jusqu’à nouvel ordre. EcoMatin,2023年4月10日.ecomatin.net/metallurgie-les-importations-du-fer-a-beton-interdites-ju…
- S80Métallurgie: les industriels dénoncent la présence du fer à béton contrefait. EcoMatin,2023年6月22日.ecomatin.net/metallurgie-les-industriels-du-secteur-denoncent-la-prese…
- S20Cameroun: le groupe Prometal décroche 26 milliards FCFA auprès d’Afreximbank…. Sikafinance,2026年9月30日.sikafinance.com/marches/cameroun-le-groupe-prometal-decroche-26-millia…
- S11640 millions d’euros d’Afreximbank: Prometal sécurise ses billettes d’acier alors que la ferraille camerounaise s’épuise. Cameroun24,2026年10月10日.cameroun24.net/article/76267-40-millions-d-euros-d-afreximbank-prometa…
- S27Bidoung J., Fomethe A., Yantio G., Melo U., La récupération et le recyclage des déchets ferromagnétiques: analyse de la situation au Cameroun (Déchets, Revue francophone d’écologie industrielle n°48). ENSP Yaoundé / MIPROMALO,2007年第四季度.eid.episciences.org/7942/pdf
- S06UN Comtrade public API, CEMAC & Nigeria (reporters 266 Gabon, 178 Congo, 140 CAR, 566 Nigeria; mirror partners 148 Chad, 226 Eq. Guinea). UN Statistics Division.comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/A/HS?reporterCode=266&period=20…
- S132World Development Indicators API: population, GDP (current US$), GDP growth, urban share for CMR, TCD, GAB, COG, GNQ, CAF, NGA. World Bank,更新:2026年10月8日.api.worldbank.org/v2/country/CMR
- S33Cameroon Steel reference configuration RC-1 (planning estimate), edition 10 October 2026. Cameroon Steel,2026年10月10日.按标题和日期引用
- S58Commodity Markets Outlook, Historical Data, Annual (xlsx). World Bank,2026年9月2日.thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-00500120…
- S144Pink Sheet, October 2026. World Bank,2026年10月2日.thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/74e8be41ceb20fa0da750cda2f6b9e4e-00500120…
- S59Commodity Markets Outlook April 2026, Forecasts (Table 1). World Bank,2026年4月.thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/f3138644a1e8e2bb631399ae11d6c408-00500120…
- S22Weekly steel prices (archive 40468). Arab Iron & Steel Union (AISU),2026年10月3日.aisusteel.org/en/archives/40468
- S145Weekly steel prices (archive 36573). AISU,2025年10月18日.aisusteel.org/en/archives/36573
- S146Weekly steel prices (archive 30176). AISU,2024年11月5日.aisusteel.org/en/archives/30176
- S147Weekly steel prices (archive 23160). AISU,2023年10月22日.aisusteel.org/en/archives/23160
- S148Weekly steel prices (archive 29546). AISU,2024年10月6日.aisusteel.org/en/archives/29546
- S149Key global markets are set for a rise in rebar prices. GMK Center,2026年9月17日.gmk.center/en/news/key-global-markets-are-set-for-a-rise-in-rebar-pric…
- S150Billet prices rose by $10-40 per ton in March in regional markets. GMK Center,2026年4月1日.gmk.center/en/news/billet-prices-rose-by-10-40-per-ton-in-march-in-reg…
- S151Turkish rebar prices declined in the second half of April. GMK Center,2025年4月25日.gmk.center/en/news/turkish-rebar-prices-declined-in-the-second-half-of…
- S24Fer à béton: les producteurs acceptent une baisse des prix. EcoMatin,2023年10月23日.ecomatin.net/fer-a-beton-les-producteurs-acceptent-une-baisse-des-prix
- S160Global HBI market bullish amid tight supply, ex-Libya tender closure to give further direction. SteelOrbis,2026年5月15日.steelorbis.com/steel-prices/steel-prices-market-analyses/scrap-and-raw…
- S159European buyers uninterested in BPI and HBI purchases, prices up nominally due to freight. SteelOrbis,2026年3月16日.steelorbis.com/steel-prices/steel-prices-market-analyses/scrap-and-raw…
- S161Average prices for Brazilian pig iron fell by $20/t in September. GMK Center,2026年10月4日.gmk.center/?p=129748
- S158At 11.4 per cent of the value of imports, African countries paid more for international transport than any other region (Review of Maritime Transport 2015). UNCTAD,2015年.unctad.org/press-material/114-cent-value-imports-african-countries-pai…
- S23WITS TRAINS API, Cameroon reported MFN tariffs by HS6 (2023). World Bank / UNCTAD.wits.worldbank.org/API/V1/SDMX/V21/datasource/TRN/reporter/120/partner…
- S124Cameroon, Republic of: Corporate, Other taxes. PwC Worldwide Tax Summaries,审阅:2026年8月14日.taxsummaries.pwc.com/republic-of-cameroon/corporate/other-taxes
- S93Rapport d’activités 2025 de l’ARSEL. ARSEL (electricity regulator),2026年9月7日.arsel-cm.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Rapport-ARSEL-2025.pdf
- S154Tableaux tarifaires, Décision ARSEL N°00000427 (MT 2023-2025). ARSEL,上传:2026年1月.arsel-cm.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/TABLEAUX-TARIFAIRES-decision-M…
- S155Décision fixant le montant de la RMA ENEO au titre de l’exercice 2025 (réajustée). ARSEL,2025年12月19日.arsel-cm.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Decision-fixant-le-Montant-de-…
- S126Best Available Techniques Reference Document, Iron and Steel (EUR 25521). EC JRC,2013年.bureau-industrial-transformation.jrc.ec.europa.eu/sites/default/files/…
- S125Environmental, Health, and Safety Guidelines for Integrated Steel Mills. IFC / World Bank Group,2007年4月30日.ifc.org/content/dam/ifc/doc/2000/2007-integrated-steel-mills-ehs-guide…
- S131Cameroon applies CEEAC common external tariff from January 1, 2026. Business in Cameroon,2026年1月12日.businessincameroon.com/public-management/1201-15594-cameroon-applies-c…
引用本章
Cameroon Steel(2026)。喀麦隆钢铁缺口在于含铁原料,而非钢筋(中文摘要版)。白皮书04,附录D:数据表。CS-WP-04。https://www.cameroon-steel.com/zh/library/market-outlook/annex-data/
来源